Monday, December 24, 2018

Why Yield on Cost Matters


Many dividend investing conversations revolve around the term “yield”.  Simply defined, dividend yield is the dividend payment divided by the price of the stock.  For instance, a company paying a dividend of $1 with a stock price of $20 delivers a 5% yield:  1 / 20 = .05 or 5%.

The concept is straight forward and provides a benchmark useful in comparing the quality of alternative investments or assessing the performance of a single investment across multiple points in time e.g., 1 year ago, 3 years ago, 5 years ago, and today.  The difference between yield on cost and yield on price falls primarily into the second category offering a trending viewpoint for an investment.  To an extent, it also provides an opportunity-cost perspective on switching investment positions.

Return on Investment
Comparing Yield on Cost Across Alternatives

Assume for a moment that you bought ABC Corps. 10 years ago because it had a 5% yield.  You did so believing it was a quality company with a solid dividend.  Furthermore, you were aware that ABC’s yield was superior to rates on other investment vehicles like bonds and treasuries paying roughly 2%-3% or CDs and money markets paying less than 1%.

10 years later, you review your ABC Corps investment and discover it is still paying a 5% dividend while bonds, treasuries, and CDs have been creeping up the yield curve.  Do you abandon your ABC holding in favor of an alternative showing yield growth during that period?

Assume that over the last decade ABC has increased in price from $20 a share to $40 a share representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7%.  This is close to the market’s historical average.  During the decade, ABC held its yield constant at 5%.  At $40 a share the 5% yield now equals $2.00 which means dividend payment or cash flow is double what it was when you bought it.  ABC has obviously been increasing the amount of its dividend payment on a regular basis and in healthy increments.

A secondary assumption is that you made no additional purchases of stock, other than DRIP investments through your broker.  The shares you initially purchased at $20 each are now paying $2.00 in dividends delivering a yield of 10%:  (2.00 / 20 = 10%) relative to your initial cost.  Consequently, your yield on cost is significantly greater than your yield on price based upon today’s stock value, which is fantastic.  More importantly, it’s unlikely that vacating ABC in favor of a new bond or treasury investment will result in a cash flow stream anywhere near 10%.

How does this work?  It’s straight forward.  The cost of the stock your purchased 10 years ago did not change but the amount of the dividend being paid relative to it increased nicely.

Why is this important?  The price of an investment you purchase today doesn’t change over time.  This is true of real estate, stocks, bonds, gold, baseball cards, etc.  In all cases, the cost point remains constant.  On the cash flow side of the equation, only dividend stocks and rental real estate offer potential for increased cash flow across your time horizon.  See the posts on real estate for additional thoughts on that investment vehicle.  The rest of the investment world offers no opportunity for increasing cash flow without requiring additional transactions e.g., sales, purchases, calls, loans, etc.

The short story is that dividend stocks with strong payment histories, finite downside, and minimum overhead are one of the best methods of compounding your investments over time to reach your objectives.  Being aware of how yield on original cost differs from yield in current price further highlights the gulf between dividend paying stocks and alternatives.  This awareness is helpful when assessing the opportunity cost of vacating dividend paying stocks for alternatives and further demonstrates why solid dividend paying stocks should be strong considerations within any portfolio.



The thoughts and opinions expressed here are those of the author, who is not a financial professional, and should not be considered as investment advice. The information is presented for consideration and entertainment only.  For specific investment advice or assistance, please contact a registered investment advisor, licensed broker, or other financial professional

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