Monday, August 12, 2019

1 Percent: It’s bigger than you thought.

1% is BIG image
1% is BIG

Div Tip #15 described how a 1% increase in the compound growth rate of a dividend cash stream reduced the time needed for that stream to double in size.  This post expands on that Div Tip.


The first column in the table below shows portfolios throwing off dividend streams with Compound Annual Growth Rates (CAGR) ranging from 4% to 20%.

Column two applies the Rule of 72 to highlight the number of years required for that dividend stream to double in size assuming the initial rate continues unabated. 

The first couple columns are well understood.  Columns three and four contain the important information.

CAGR
Years to Double
Years Doubling Time is Reduced
% Decrease in Doubling Years
4
18.0


5
14.4
3.6
20%
6
12.0
2.4
17%
7
10.3
1.7
14%
8
9.0
1.3
13%
9
8.0
1.0
11%
10
7.2
0.8
10%
11
6.5
0.7
9%
12
6.0
0.5
8%
13
5.5
0.5
8%
14
5.1
0.4
7%
15
4.8
0.3
7%
16
4.5
0.3
6%
17
4.2
0.3
6%
18
4.0
0.2
6%
19
3.8
0.2
5%
20
3.6
0.2
5%

The third column shows how many years are shaved off the time to double when growing the CAGR 1%.  For example, taking a dividend cash flow stream compounding at 4% and moving that compounding rate to 5% knocks 3.6 years off the time to double.  Those 3.6 years represent a 20% reduction in the time needed to double your initial dividend stream courtesy of a 1% increase in the rate at which the stream compounds.  A 20 to 1 payback.  Outstanding.
 
As noted in Div Tip #15, growing the compounding rate from 8% to 9% results in a more modest 11% reduction in the time needed to double a dividend income stream.  Of course, moving further down the chart demonstrates that the amount doubling time is reduced declines to point at which the time to double decreases only 5%.  However, a 5% reduction in doubling time for a 1% increase in CAGR is still solid.  Who wouldn’t pay $1 to get $5?

It’s easy to see why small things that improve the rate at which a dividend stream is compounding make a big difference and are important to a Dividend Farmer.  The next post highlights several ways to improve the CAGR of a dividend paying portfolio reducing the time to double that income stream.

Thoughts expressed here are those of the author, who is not a financial professional.  These opinions should not be considered investment advice.  They are presented for discussion and entertainment purposes.  For specific investment advice or assistance, please contact a registered investment advisor, licensed broker, or other financial professional.

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